Victoria Azarenka vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Jessica Pegula's recent second serve performance is superior, winning 45.07% of points compared to Victoria Azarenka's 38.15%. Could this influence the outcome? Likely, given the high correlation with match results.
• In terms of returning games, Pegula slightly edges out Azarenka, winning 49.72% of opponent's second serve points against Azarenka's 49.08%. On first serve returns, they remain nearly evenly matched but Pegula leads marginally with 28.84% vs. 28.69%.
• When playing under pressure, Pegula has shown more resilience by saving 53.85% of breakpoints, while Azarenka has saved 47.22%.
• Overall, Pegula’s performance over the past year stands at a 68.66% win rate, significantly higher than Azarenka's 45.83%.
• Both players excel on Hard courts, but Azarenka has a higher career win percentage at 72%, compared to 67% for Pegula.
• Pegula has experienced greater success recently in the Masters series, winning 58.62% of her matches, as opposed to Azarenka’s 40% win rate.
• Head-to-head, they are evenly matched with 3 wins each. However, Pegula won their last encounter on clay, suggesting momentum could be with her.
• In matches that reached a deciding set, Pegula has a 55% win rate over the past 12 months, which is lower than Azarenka’s 67% across all tours.
• Pegula appears stronger in tiebreak situations, winning both in their encounters, which could be critical in close matches.
• Pegula has been competing against higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 49.7 compared to Azarenka's 94.58, indicating tougher competition.
• Azarenka shows a better breakpoint conversion rate, capitalizing on 40% of opportunities, while Pegula converts 35.41%.

Editorial Prediction (August 29, 2025, UTC):

Both players bring a competitive edge with their strengths and weaknesses clearly visible in their recent performances. Jessica Pegula has exhibited stronger performance in critical areas such as second serve points, return games, and breakpoint defenses.

Victoria Azarenka, while being slightly better on Hard courts and in deciding set scenarios, has been playing against generally lower-ranked opponents, indicating potentially less challenging matchups.

Though they are tied in head-to-head encounters, Pegula's recent match success, particularly in crucial pressure moments, gives her a slight edge. Based on the current trends and statistics, Jessica Pegula is more likely the favorite to win the upcoming match.